Uranium Stocks

Worst Over?

I think there is a good chance we have reached a bottom. The day the Venture was down around 9% was the panic selling day and since then it looks like we are on track for a 3rd day of good gains.

If you sold out your test position in Mega, consider coming back in again. It may seem weird to exit a stock then come back into it but nobody can ever predict 100% what will happen in the future. So we have to test our theories with smaller positions and then increase our position as the stock goes up.

Because if the price is going up that means we are right. And until the stock stops going up we should continue adding to our position.

If you are not familiar with this technique, try it out and see if it gives you results. I have found this technique to be the most effective in minimizing losses while still providing good gains because we try to ride out positions as long as possible.

Posted by Mike – January 24, 2008 – 09:11

Mega Buy

Oh no! It's the end of the world! Big News was that TSX loses 623 points in just a couple days.

It's funny that right before this everything was so positive with Gold hitting new highs and newspaper articles talking about fund manager's "herd mentality".

So what does this all mean?

Well we are at a very volatile time in our markets with large moves up and down with a general flat trend. I myself am holding put in my positions and establishing some test postions in some beaten up stocks.

What stocks?

Well the first I want to talk about is Mega Uranium (mga.to).

If you look Mega's chart there is nothing bright about it. The stock is off of its highs in the 9 dollar range to its current price below $3!!!

So yes you can say it has taken a beating!

But the thing that I find very positive about it is that Sheldon Inwentash, its CEO has been buying up the stock hand over first the last month or so in the $3 level.

This is a man who has made money time after time with stock after stock. In other words, this is a man who has a very good reputation and who's actions we should watch closely.

Posted by Mike – January 17, 2008 – 09:53

Time To Get This Show Back On The Road!

Happy New Year!

Boy I just looked at the time I posted last and it has been almost a full year since my last post. The past year has been a very challenging one for resource stocks but I am very optimistic about 2008.

Oil is over $100, Uranium is bouncing back to $90 but where are our dear share prices?????

In the pits!!! And more than half of Canadian fund managers are predicting drops in the TSX.

But remember folks, monkeys have a better chance of outperforming the TSX than fund managers do, so whatever they say to do, we should be doing the oposite!

So how did I do in 2007 you may ask??

Well here is a little rundown of what I was in:

KXL: Huge gains, I am very satisfied. Stock went up sharply, then down sharply. I started buying when it was flatlining. The stock is now hitting new highs and I still in but with my finger ready to pull the trigger if it drops 10-20% from current levels.

NUX: Was a large holding of mine. Am slowly downsizing but the management team is still great on this dormant stock. Good news will definetely boost this stock very fast. Right now sitting at about two bucks off highs of around 3.50 so it'll be interesting to see how long it will take to run higher.

Posted by Mike – January 2, 2008 – 18:01

The Contrarian Approach Right Now On Uranium Stocks

This past weekend, one of the biggest resource conferences was held in Vancouver again this year. I was not there but I know several people who were.

Here is a quick comment that is very interesting to me: I just got home from the Gold Show.  A quick comment.  There was a panel on uranium and the general consensus was that the sector has had a really good run and it was time to get careful.

Although I agree that uranium has had a nice run the analysts are all just looking out for their own necks. Nobody wants to stick it out and take a different view.

The way they are thinking is that some profits have been made so now I can't go wrong at all by telling somebody to take profits. But they don't even go that far. They say "get careful". What does that exactly mean? Sell some? How much? So many questions...

Anyways, I am going to stick my neck out and say to stay fully invested in uranium and keep on buying more. I think when these boys all join up again with the stocks up much higher than they are now and encouraging everybody to keep buying more, then that will be the time to start selling.  

Posted by Mike – January 23, 2007 – 14:42

Thoughts

The Uranium sector as a whole has been quite hot for the past couple months and our favorite size of stocks, juniors, have been performing very nicely, with many posting triple digit returns.

However, instead of chasing the hottest stocks, I am looking for companies in the right resource sectors (such as uranium) that are lagging.

Most small cap resource stocks, due to their speculative nature, go in cycles. That is, they go up and then they come down. Therefore, to profit the most and on the most consistent basis, it is preferable to buy small cap resource stocks after they have fallen from their highs and are either flat lining or beginning a new upward trend.

Then after you have made some decent profits (you decide what you want), cash in your profits because there is a very high chance that the stock will come down after a while.

So in summary, try obey the ever lasting principle of "buy low, sell high".

Before I conclude this posting, keep in mind that patience is very important. It can sometimes take weeks or even months for your stock to bounce from its range. Stick with it for a while and you will often be rewarded. If you cut too fast and start to chase the fastest moving stocks at the moment you will undoubtedly get caught on the downfall of most of these because they drop as fast or even faster than they rise.

Posted by Mike – January 3, 2007 – 18:00
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